Who should you avoid (or draft low) in your NBA fantasy drafts this year?For every great sleeper and value pick made, every single manager will draft someone who made them go "Hmmm…maybe this year he gets it together," before picking him. I’m not saying they’re going to crap fantasy bricks all year like Gerald Wallace last season (ok Wallace IS on the list because he did fall off the fantasy NBA cliff), but you can probably find more bang for your relative buck. Most have at one point or another been regarded as top 20-30 fantasy players, but they won’t be sniffing that hallow ground this season. For whatever reason or number of reasons, these are players I will not be drafting this year, unless they drop severely in their preseason rankings or they luck into an ideal situation. This is the A Team. (The A stands for avoid.) - PG Mo Williams, Portland Trail Blazers Mo Williams will always be remembered as the guy who rode the coat-tails of Cavaliers’ LeBron more than any of the other sidekicks. He somehow made an All Star team and parlayed his play into a successful career after being basically a competent starter for the Bucks until pairing with James in Cleveland. Mo had some nice stretches last year showing there was still some gas in the tank, albeit for only 46 games on a young Jazz team. Always more of a shooting guard than a point guard, Williams could have easily signed with a handful of contending teams for both more money, and a guarantee of more minutes. Signing with Portland is somewhat of a head scratcher, in that the guy he’s meant to be backing up can, and does play, a LOT. Damian Lillard played so much in fact that he led the entire NBA in minutes played in his rookie year at 3,167. Despite voicing his concerns over playing so many minutes in his first year, Lillard is not going to suddenly drop to 30-32 minutes nightly. Does this mean Portland is going to play Mo ahead of their lottery pick CJ McCollum, or best perimeter defender in Wes Matthews? I don’t think so. Mo has his strengths, but he also has his limitations as he doesn’t net enough assists, steals, rebounds or blocks to make him a worthwhile fantasy pick this year. If Lillard or Matthews were to be hurt (touch wood) or traded, the opportunity may be there but it may end up Portland decides to run with McCollum as their first combo guard off the bench. To top it off, Williams is not very durable, having missed 13, 24, 14 and 36 games over the past four seasons. 2012-13 Numbers: 31mins 12.9pts 2.4reb 6.2asst 1stl 1.3x threes 43%fg 88%ft 2013-14 Projection: 23mins 10.9pts 1.8reb 2.9asst 0.6stl 1.5x threes 44%fg 88%ft SG Joe Johnson, Brooklyn Nets I’ve always been a fan of Johnson, dating back to when the Suns acquired him from the Celtics for for expendable parts Tony Delk and Rodney Rogers. Johnson was an All Star as recently as 2012, but when the Hawks hired new General Manager Danny Ferry, Johnson and his albatross contract were swiftly dealt to the now cash heavy Brooklyn Nets. Johnson’s game relies on his jump-shot, where he has worked to become one of the better three point shooters over the last 10 years. He uses his 6’8” and 230-pound frame very well, as he can easily out-muscle smaller shooting guards in the post, or he’s too fast for many small forwards. He doesn’t have elite athleticism, or even good for that matter and he rarely ends up on highlight plays apart from when it’s time to close out a game where he is elite across the NBA. The reason he ends up on this list is not because he’s bad by any means, if anything it’s because his team is going to be very good this season, even better and deeper than last season. He only averaged 16.3 points per game in 2012-13 and shot a paltry 42.3 percent from the field, his lowest outputs in both categories since 2002-03. I actually expect a slight uptick in his field goal percentage, but his rebounds and assist numbers both fell for the third straight season last year, as more often he has found himself as just another spot up shooter on the Nets offence. Deron Williams is a great point guard -- there's only a handful of other point guards you would take ahead of him when healthy and motivated -- but he dominates the ball. It’s not just Williams who takes away from Johnson’s value, after the massive Celtics-Nets deal, they obtained Paul Pierce, another perimeter ‘point forward’ who is a good iso player and has a game very similar to Johnson, not to menton Andrei Kirilenko who will see time due to his defensive abilities. Don’t be surprised if the Nets blow a lot of teams out this season and Johnson, along with the other old dogs Pierce and Kevin Garnett, get rested for the playoff stretch. 2012-13 Numbers: 37mins 16.3pts 3reb 3.5asst 0.7stl 2.1x threes 42%fg 82%ft 2013-14 Projection: 32mins 14.6pts 3.1reb 3asst 0.8stl 2.1x threes 45%fg 84%ft SF Gerald Wallace, Boston Celtics Very few players have gone through the tumultuous life of an overpaid NBA journeyman like Wallace has in the last three seasons. From being a legit top 25 NBA fantasy player for a good 4-5 years, he fell off the cliff in epic fashion for the Brooklyn Nets last year. His points dropped from 13.8 to 7.7 per game -- the third straight season of declining points production -- and his field goal percentage, three-point field goal percentage, and rebounds per game also dropped for a third straight season. This is simply a case of a guy who relied on athleticism in the past to carry him, and that athleticism has left his body like a scene from an Exorcist movie (without the crotch massacre, projectile vomiting, or upside down walk up the staircase…although I can’t vouch for all three not happening to Wallace last year, it could explain his drop-off?). Age catches up to players, especially those who rely on that bounce and speed to produce at a high level like Wallace did. It has caught Vince Carter, KG and Shawn Marion to name a few, but all three have slightly changed their game to reflect the drop in athleticism. Unfortunately Wallace has never been a good shooter, his form always seems off and he leans to one side, while his form at the line has been inconsistent much like his shot from the outside the arc. His last four seasons from behind the arc sum up how much faith you should have in Wallace this season for the Celtics because there’s a steady trend there: 37.1 percent (career high), 33.3 percent, 30.7 percent, and 28.2 percent in 2012-2013. If you want to take a chance on a guy playing on a rebuilding team (his fourth in three seasons), all I can say is be prepared for him to live up to his nickname and Crash. 2012-13 Numbers: 30mins 7.7pts 4.6reb 2.6asst 1.4stl 0.7blk 40%fg 64%ft 2013-14 Projection: 23mins 9.0pts 5.7reb 2.0asst 1.1stl 0.5blk 41%fg 69%ft PF Carlos Boozer, Chicago Bulls Boozer never really developed into the All NBA level player many were expecting when he left rookie Lebron in Cleveland for the greener (money) pastures of Utah. Sure he’s made two All Star games and an All NBA third team, but he’s always been second fiddle on his own team and never been the Alpha Dog like his contemporaries. He seems to be destined to stay below the great power forwards of his era like Tim Duncan, Dirk Nowitzki and Kevin Garnett, as well as the very good ones like Amare Stoudemire, Chris Bosh, David Lee, Blake Griffin, Kevin Love and LaMarcus Aldridge -- all of whom either peaked higher, or have yet to realise their true potential. He’s developed a niche for the Bulls as their low post scoring option, but I wonder how much better they’d be if Taj Gibson became the starter and they perhaps went with a scorer off the bench at power forward like Indiana will do with Luis Scola this season. Don’t get me wrong, it’s obviously working for Chicago, but their future success is dictated more by the health of Derrick Rose than by who starts out of Boozer or Gibson. Boozer is a classic banger, but in terms of fantasy numbers he doesn’t do anything well enough to make him worth a pick in the top 50-60 which is where he typically finds himself drafted. He doesn’t make his free throws at a high enough rate (72.4 percent career), get many assists, grab many steals or block any shots. 2012-2013 marked the third straight season of less than 0.5 blocks per game for Boozer -- Eric Bledsoe had more blocks last year than Boozer has had over the last two seasons combined! He doesn’t make threes like a Ryan Anderson, Kevin Love or Dirk Nowitzki do at power forward, or even hit his field goals at a particularly high clip anymore (career low 47.7 percent), so unless he’s your last option he just isn’t worth it. I expect him to improve his field goal percentage with the return of Rose, but as Jimmy Butler slowly gains more trust from coach Thibs, expect Boozer’s resurgent scoring to drop as it had the previous two seasons before 2012-13. 2012-13 Numbers: 32mins 16.2pts 9.8reb 2.3asst 0.8stl 0.4blk 48%fg 73%ft 2013-14 Projection: 31mins 14.2pts 8.3reb 1.7asst 0.6stl 0.3blk 51%fg 70%ft - Do you agree or disagree the players listed? If you've got some other players who you're completely avoiding, let us know! Check back in a couple of days for Part 2 of our list of players to avoid in your fantasy draft.